
Depending on who you listen to, Venezuela is either a socialist tyranny on the way to destroying the economy, or at the head of a heroic anti-imperialist bloc representing all that is positive in Latin American governance over the past decade.
The reality is more nuanced.
While chipping away at democracy, Chavez has in the past retained a solid level of support precisely because it is not his democratic credentials, or lack of, that the United States has taken issue with. It is his willingness to redistribute wealth and shun the American model while empowering indigenous groups who under Chavez's rule have for the first time had their rights recognised in the 1999 Bolivarian Constitution of Venezuela. The lack of rhetoric emanating from Washingtonian academics during last year's anti-democratic coup in Honduras, compared to the reaction of those same people at even the mention of Chavez's name, speaks volumes for the notion that in the market-democracy a far greater importance is attached to the profit motive rather than the polling booth.
On the other hand, while propping up the Communist regime in Cuba through the supply of heavily subsidised oil (some 100,000 barrels a day,) Chavez has overseen an increasing Cubanisation of Venezuelan society, with some 30,000 Cuban personnel working in the areas of health care and education; and perhaps more tellingly, 100s of Cuban military technicians working in various departments of the National Armed Forces of the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela.
American support for an anti-democratic coup in 2002, which briefly saw Chavez deposed in order to make way for a pro-Washington stooge, gave Chavez the incentive to set up an internal defence force similar to that already existing in Cuba - neighbourhood militias organised around the idea of a "people's war" should the United States invade. The corresponding system in Cuba, the "Committees for the Defence of the Revolution" (CDR), which exist in every Cuban neighbourhood, are based upon the idea of "defending socialism against foreign aggression". In reality they spend the majority of their time spying on any citizens suspected of "counter-revolutionary activity" - a broad and all encompassing term.
With the Bush presidency ramping up its rhetoric in the years before and after the 2002 coup, hard questions were seldom asked in Venezuela as to Chavez's democratic credentials. Many who were not natural supporters of Chavez still saw a need to defend the elected President during a time when United States ambassador to the United Nations, John Bolton, was pushing the sinister and ludicrous suggestion that Cuba was producing biological weapons. The prospect of a US invasion of Venezuela was palpably real if only in perception.
The degeneration of Cuba into a military dictatorship is perhaps befitting of Susan Sontag's term "fascism with a human face" to describe the trajectory of communism in practice. Chavez's rhetoric in recent times has been increasingly Castroist in tone, while in substance more than misleading with regard to the "actually existing" situation on the island nation, returning from a recent visit to describe the country as a "sea of happiness". One wonders what Chavez might call the actual seas surrounding Cuba, where an unknown number have lost their lives over the years trying to flee "paradise"; and been contemptuously and posthumously written of as "gusanos" (worms) by the authorities in Havana.
In February Vice President of the Cuban Council of State, Ramiro Valdez, travelled to Venezuela on the pretext of helping the country overcome its energy crisis, prompting many to question the logic behind the appointment of the former Minster of the Interior of a country which suffers 24 hour blackouts to oversee the energy policy of one of the world's largest oil exporters. The visit of the longest serving Cuban Minister of the Interior at a time when Chavez's chances of re-election are sliding should perhaps indicate that Chavez is looking with increasing interest towards the Cuban model of dealing with democratic dissent. It is Valdes after all who presides over Cuba's Internet network, or, more accurately, it is Valdes who is in charge of preventing Cubans from accessing the Internet. One thing Valdes has no experience in is the energy sector.
"For us engineers in Venezuela, it makes no sense," Enzo Betancourt, president of Venezuela's Association of Engineers, said in a recent interview with CNN.
Coming after a recent speech in which Chavez branded the spreading of criticism over the Internet as "terrorism"; and in a week where Venezuela has asked Interpol to arrest the owner of the only TV station still openly critical of Chavez, things are looking bleak for the increasingly hectored Venezuelan opposition to "21st century socialism".
To some in Caracas the fear is that things may be about to take a decidedly 20th century turn of the Stalinist variety.
